Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Scheifele 48.3% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 60.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 55.4%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 50.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Nelson
Scheifele
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
48.1% (1,045)
-2.0%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
48.6% (181)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
44.4% (27)
-14.0%
On power play, Scheifele has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Home / Away
Nelson
Scheifele
Home
48.7% (419)
52.7% (630)
Away
41.3% (368)
43.5% (623)
By Period
Nelson
Scheifele
P1
44.6%
50.3%
P2
47.3%
46.8%
P3
43.0%
47.5%
OT
100.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
39.4%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%