Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Beniers 46.4% (+7.0%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 51.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 53.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Nelson
Beniers
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
41.6% (89)
+8.3%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
100.0% (2)
-47.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
0.0% (1)
+28.6%
On power play, Beniers has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Beniers is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Nelson
Beniers
Home
49.8% (458)
62.2% (45)
Away
49.0% (506)
23.4% (47)
By Period
Nelson
Beniers
P1
50.1%
51.5%
P2
45.4%
25.0%
P3
52.7%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.4%