Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Beniers 42.9% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 90.6%
Defensive zone
Nelson 74.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 90.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Nelson
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Nelson
Beniers
Last 5: Nelson 5-0 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Beniers
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Beniers
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Beniers
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
42.3% (879)
+4.6%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
40.3% (72)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
44.4% (18)
-19.4%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Beniers is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
Nelson
Beniers
Home
48.9% (521)
43.8% (495)
Away
45.5% (516)
40.5% (474)
By Period
Nelson
Beniers
P1
45.9%
43.3%
P2
48.0%
45.6%
P3
48.0%
38.2%
OT
33.3%
36.4%
Final 5 min
45.3%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 07:33 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:50 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |