Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nelson wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 44.9% vs Granlund 48.5% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 55.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 74.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 59.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Nelson
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nelson
Granlund
Last 5: Nelson 1-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
2
Nelson
Granlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
2
Nelson
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (715)
47.8% (866)
-3.9%
Power Play
61.5% (26)
49.4% (79)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
59.0% (39)
-17.6%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Nelson is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Nelson shoots left. Granlund is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (609).
Home / Away
Nelson
Granlund
Home
42.9% (406)
52.5% (505)
Away
45.8% (393)
44.1% (479)
By Period
Nelson
Granlund
P1
44.1%
48.2%
P2
47.2%
51.1%
P3
42.2%
45.0%
OT
30.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
39.9%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
44.3%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 11:33 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |