Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Granlund 47.4% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 53.2%
Defensive zone
Granlund 61.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.0%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Nelson
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Nelson
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Nelson
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Nelson
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
47.7% (1,001)
+2.2%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
53.4% (73)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
40.2% (132)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Granlund is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Nelson
Granlund
Home
49.8% (458)
45.9% (582)
Away
49.0% (506)
48.4% (624)
By Period
Nelson
Granlund
P1
50.1%
48.6%
P2
45.4%
46.7%
P3
52.7%
46.9%
OT
33.3%
31.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |