Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Frost 55.7% (-5.7%)
Offensive zone
Frost 72.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 72.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Nelson
Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
54.9% (701)
-4.2%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
60.8% (166)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
100.0% (5)
-56.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +56.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Home / Away
Nelson
Frost
Home
52.3% (621)
56.0% (443)
Away
48.9% (618)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Nelson
Frost
P1
48.4%
58.9%
P2
53.5%
55.3%
P3
50.3%
54.0%
OT
41.2%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%