Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Foligno 51.8% (-7.0%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 56.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 50.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 62.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Nelson
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
58.1% (31)
-8.2%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
50.0% (2)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
50.0% (6)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Nelson
Foligno
Home
49.8% (458)
56.3% (16)
Away
49.0% (506)
56.5% (23)
By Period
Nelson
Foligno
P1
50.1%
50.0%
P2
45.4%
66.7%
P3
52.7%
54.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%