Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Foligno 52.3% (-8.3%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 60.9%
Defensive zone
Foligno 63.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 66.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Nelson
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
52.0% (50)
-5.1%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
66.7% (21)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
0.0% (1)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Nelson
Foligno
Home
48.9% (521)
51.2% (41)
Away
45.5% (516)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Nelson
Foligno
P1
45.9%
55.6%
P2
48.0%
48.0%
P3
48.0%
65.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%