Brock Nelson vs Nick Foligno

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.6%). Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nelson 48.3% vs Foligno 48.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor Foligno leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone Foligno 57.6%
Defensive zone Nelson 52.5%
Neutral zone Foligno 51.5%
Result Nick Foligno favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Nelson Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
15 - 17 (32 meetings)
15
17
Nelson Foligno
Last 10: Nelson 7-3 Foligno

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
8
7
Nelson Foligno
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
7
4
Nelson Foligno
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
6
Nelson Foligno
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nelson
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
48.3% (2,810)
-0.4%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
52.3% (730)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
44.0% (455)
-0.2%

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Nelson
Foligno
Home
50.0% (5,845)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Nelson
Foligno
P1
48.7%
47.6%
P2
48.5%
50.4%
P3
47.7%
48.3%
OT
45.6%
29.7%
Final 5 min
47.8%
52.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%
54.0%
48.3%
Foligno
54.0%
48.0%
48.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 8, 2026 1 16:37 Offensive Brock Nelson
Feb 28, 2026 3 18:44 Defensive Brock Nelson
Feb 28, 2026 3 18:33 Neutral Nick Foligno
Apr 2, 2025 2 04:34 Offensive Brock Nelson
Mar 10, 2025 3 04:35 Offensive Brock Nelson
Mar 10, 2025 1 19:58 Defensive Brock Nelson
Mar 10, 2025 1 19:27 Defensive Brock Nelson
Mar 10, 2025 1 08:20 Neutral Nick Foligno
Mar 10, 2025 1 00:10 Defensive Nick Foligno
Nov 30, 2019 3 15:29 Defensive Brock Nelson
Nov 30, 2019 3 03:47 Neutral Nick Foligno
Nov 30, 2019 3 03:28 Defensive Brock Nelson
Oct 19, 2019 3 16:18 Defensive Brock Nelson
Oct 19, 2019 3 16:06 Offensive Nick Foligno
Oct 19, 2019 2 16:27 Offensive Brock Nelson
Mar 26, 2019 3 07:58 Defensive Nick Foligno
Mar 11, 2019 1 07:44 Offensive Brock Nelson
Feb 14, 2019 3 11:11 Defensive Nick Foligno
Feb 14, 2019 3 01:01 Offensive Nick Foligno
Feb 14, 2019 1 08:07 Defensive Brock Nelson