Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Suzuki 52.4% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 69.4%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 67.1%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 64.3%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Nelson
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Nelson
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
51.3% (1,096)
-5.2%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
59.9% (157)
-25.4%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
56.9% (58)
-26.5%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Nelson
Suzuki
Home
48.7% (419)
54.2% (638)
Away
41.3% (368)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Nelson
Suzuki
P1
44.6%
51.5%
P2
47.3%
53.3%
P3
43.0%
52.4%
OT
100.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
39.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:06 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 09:15 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |