Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Acciari 50.4% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 61.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 53.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Nelson
Acciari
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
53.1% (147)
-3.2%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
100.0% (2)
-47.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
23.5% (17)
+5.1%
On power play, Acciari has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Acciari is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (125).
Home / Away
Nelson
Acciari
Home
49.8% (458)
66.7% (33)
Away
49.0% (506)
46.6% (133)
By Period
Nelson
Acciari
P1
50.1%
50.0%
P2
45.4%
49.1%
P3
52.7%
52.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.6%