Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Acciari 53.3% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 81.2%
Defensive zone
Acciari 63.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 57.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Nelson
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Nelson
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Nelson
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Nelson
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
54.5% (532)
-7.6%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
62.5% (8)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
48.8% (86)
-23.8%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Nelson shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Nelson
Acciari
Home
48.9% (521)
56.2% (281)
Away
45.5% (516)
51.9% (345)
By Period
Nelson
Acciari
P1
45.9%
53.4%
P2
48.0%
57.1%
P3
48.0%
51.4%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |