Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Byfield 46.6% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 68.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 63.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 80.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Nelson
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Nelson
Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Byfield
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Byfield
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
45.4% (262)
+4.5%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
50.0% (8)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
33.3% (3)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Byfield has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Byfield is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Nelson
Byfield
Home
49.8% (458)
43.0% (114)
Away
49.0% (506)
47.2% (159)
By Period
Nelson
Byfield
P1
50.1%
46.5%
P2
45.4%
41.9%
P3
52.7%
47.9%
Final 5 min
47.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 12:57 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |