Brock Nelson vs Quinton Byfield
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Byfield 44.9% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Byfield leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Byfield 55.7%
Defensive zone
Byfield 63.1%
Neutral zone
Byfield 57.0%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Nelson
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Nelson
Byfield
Last 10: Nelson 3-7 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
3
4
Nelson
Byfield
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
5
Nelson
Byfield
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
7
4
Nelson
Byfield
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
45.3% (2,107)
+2.6%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
47.3% (112)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
37.3% (225)
+6.5%
On power play, Nelson has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Byfield is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,627).
Home / Away
Nelson
Byfield
Home
50.0% (5,845)
45.2% (1,163)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
44.1% (1,281)
By Period
Nelson
Byfield
P1
48.7%
45.0%
P2
48.5%
43.7%
P3
47.7%
45.5%
OT
45.6%
41.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 09:58 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:27 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |