Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 47.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Byfield 48.6% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 61.0%
Defensive zone
Byfield 64.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 58.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Nelson
Byfield
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
46.5% (101)
+0.4%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
50.0% (6)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
100.0% (1)
-75.0%
On penalty kill, Byfield has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Byfield is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Nelson
Byfield
Home
48.9% (521)
55.0% (40)
Away
45.5% (516)
42.6% (68)
By Period
Nelson
Byfield
P1
45.9%
50.0%
P2
48.0%
48.6%
P3
48.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.3%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
47.2%