Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 45.6%). Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Byfield 47.9% (-0.4%)
Offensive zone
Byfield 55.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 65.8%
Neutral zone
Byfield 50.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Nelson
Byfield
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
45.1% (71)
+1.0%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
44.4% (18)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
100.0% (1)
-69.6%
On penalty kill, Byfield has a +69.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Byfield is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Nelson
Byfield
Home
48.7% (419)
44.7% (47)
Away
41.3% (368)
46.5% (43)
By Period
Nelson
Byfield
P1
44.6%
55.6%
P2
47.3%
47.1%
P3
43.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
45.6%