Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+8.3%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 75.6%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 69.2%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 55.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Nelson
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
40.9% (232)
+9.0%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
100.0% (1)
-47.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
40.0% (30)
-11.4%
On power play, Lafferty has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Lafferty is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lafferty
Home
49.8% (458)
38.2% (123)
Away
49.0% (506)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Nelson
Lafferty
P1
50.1%
41.6%
P2
45.4%
36.7%
P3
52.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%