Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Lafferty 50.7% (-1.8%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 53.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 66.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Nelson
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
52.4% (42)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Nelson is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Nelson shoots left. Lafferty is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lafferty
Home
52.3% (621)
47.8% (23)
Away
48.9% (618)
57.9% (19)
By Period
Nelson
Lafferty
P1
48.4%
53.3%
P2
53.5%
55.6%
P3
50.3%
47.1%
OT
41.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%