Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Steel 49.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 56.9%
Defensive zone
Steel 55.1%
Neutral zone
Steel 54.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Nelson
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nelson
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Nelson
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
49.3% (383)
+0.6%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
59.1% (22)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
14.3% (7)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Steel is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Nelson
Steel
Home
49.8% (458)
49.4% (180)
Away
49.0% (506)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Nelson
Steel
P1
50.1%
51.9%
P2
45.4%
43.8%
P3
52.7%
52.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Sam Steel |