Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Steel 48.8% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.8%
Defensive zone
Steel 53.3%
Neutral zone
Steel 52.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Nelson
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nelson
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Nelson
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
49.5% (553)
-2.6%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
61.3% (31)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
30.6% (49)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Steel has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Nelson
Steel
Home
48.9% (521)
46.4% (347)
Away
45.5% (516)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Nelson
Steel
P1
45.9%
52.1%
P2
48.0%
49.8%
P3
48.0%
45.2%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Sam Steel |