Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Steel 50.6% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 54.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 54.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Nelson
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
52.5% (200)
-1.8%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
71.4% (7)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
40.0% (45)
+3.4%
On power play, Steel has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Nelson
Steel
Home
52.3% (621)
49.5% (109)
Away
48.9% (618)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Nelson
Steel
P1
48.4%
49.5%
P2
53.5%
47.5%
P3
50.3%
56.6%
OT
41.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%