Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.4%). Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 77.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 78.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Nelson
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Nelson
Kuraly
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
1
Nelson
Kuraly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
5
Nelson
Kuraly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
52.3% (982)
-2.4%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
41.9% (43)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
39.2% (245)
-10.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kuraly
Home
49.8% (458)
50.3% (680)
Away
49.0% (506)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Nelson
Kuraly
P1
50.1%
49.5%
P2
45.4%
49.6%
P3
52.7%
49.0%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.1%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 04:30 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:20 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |