Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Stützle 40.1% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 88.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 69.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 88.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 88.2%
88.2%
11.8%
Nelson
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Nelson
Stützle
Last 7: Nelson 5-2 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Stützle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
1
Nelson
Stützle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
37.3% (458)
+12.6%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
100.0% (3)
-47.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
50.0% (12)
-21.4%
On power play, Stützle has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Stützle is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Nelson
Stützle
Home
49.8% (458)
42.8% (229)
Away
49.0% (506)
33.6% (244)
By Period
Nelson
Stützle
P1
50.1%
41.8%
P2
45.4%
39.0%
P3
52.7%
33.1%
Final 5 min
47.1%
34.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 15:03 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 03:38 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:42 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |