Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Stützle 43.0% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 67.6%
Defensive zone
Stützle 81.2%
Neutral zone
Stützle 55.1%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Nelson
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nelson
Stützle
Last 5: Nelson 2-3 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Stützle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
2
Nelson
Stützle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Stützle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
42.7% (457)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
20.0% (5)
+37.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
25.0% (24)
+0.0%
On power play, Nelson has a +37.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Stützle is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Nelson
Stützle
Home
48.9% (521)
43.1% (253)
Away
45.5% (516)
39.9% (233)
By Period
Nelson
Stützle
P1
45.9%
44.9%
P2
48.0%
43.9%
P3
48.0%
35.8%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |