Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Stützle 48.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 50.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 52.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Nelson
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Nelson
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Nelson
Stützle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Nelson
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Stützle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
47.7% (398)
+3.6%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
50.0% (10)
+8.7%
On power play, Nelson has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Stützle is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Nelson
Stützle
Home
52.5% (590)
53.4% (236)
Away
51.7% (619)
40.1% (172)
By Period
Nelson
Stützle
P1
50.5%
49.1%
P2
54.4%
41.3%
P3
51.4%
53.9%
OT
47.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:27 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |