Scouting Report
Tim Stützle holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Stützle 52.9% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 68.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 71.8%
Neutral zone
Stützle 52.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Nelson
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Nelson
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Stützle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Nelson
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
53.0% (485)
-2.3%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
55.2% (58)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
56.7% (30)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Stützle is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Nelson
Stützle
Home
52.3% (621)
52.5% (282)
Away
48.9% (618)
54.3% (291)
By Period
Nelson
Stützle
P1
48.4%
52.1%
P2
53.5%
56.2%
P3
50.3%
52.0%
OT
41.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 17:14 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |