Scouting Report
Tim Stützle holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Stützle 47.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 59.7%
Defensive zone
Stützle 60.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Nelson
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nelson
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
45.3% (468)
+0.8%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
62.5% (24)
-28.0%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
60.0% (20)
-29.6%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +29.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Stützle is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Nelson
Stützle
Home
48.7% (419)
46.3% (270)
Away
41.3% (368)
47.1% (242)
By Period
Nelson
Stützle
P1
44.6%
46.1%
P2
47.3%
45.8%
P3
43.0%
48.2%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |