Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.6% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 68.5%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 51.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 51.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Jarnkrok
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (82)
55.0% (1,084)
-1.3%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
56.8% (303)
-46.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
40.3% (149)
+9.7%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Jarnkrok shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
O'Reilly
Home
50.7% (71)
54.8% (759)
Away
47.5% (61)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Jarnkrok
O'Reilly
P1
52.1%
55.3%
P2
40.5%
51.9%
P3
56.1%
54.2%
OT
0.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
56.7%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%