Calle Jarnkrok vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 24-15 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 91.1%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 88.5%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 78.2%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Jarnkrok
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
24
(39 meetings)
15
24
Jarnkrok
O'Reilly
Last 10: Jarnkrok 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
11
Jarnkrok
O'Reilly
16 total
Defensive Zone
Even
8
8
Jarnkrok
O'Reilly
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
5
Jarnkrok
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (3,354)
56.2% (15,260)
-6.9%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
58.8% (3,445)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (640)
51.4% (2,811)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,982).
Jarnkrok shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
O'Reilly
Home
50.6% (2,261)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
45.3% (1,991)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Jarnkrok
O'Reilly
P1
47.7%
55.6%
P2
48.0%
57.0%
P3
48.8%
55.1%
OT
40.5%
62.2%
Final 5 min
48.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:41 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:52 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 14:48 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 28, 2017 | OT | 01:02 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 28, 2017 | OT | 00:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |