Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +33.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 47.7% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-33.5%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 74.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 53.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 62.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Jarnkrok
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
25.0% (8)
56.2% (983)
-31.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
52.0% (102)
-52.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Jarnkrok is 12.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Jarnkrok shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
O'Reilly
Home
20.0% (5)
56.2% (697)
Away
25.0% (4)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Jarnkrok
O'Reilly
P1
0.0%
54.5%
P2
50.0%
55.5%
P3
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
0.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
22.2%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.7%