Casey Mittelstadt vs Connor McDavid
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs McDavid 53.4% (-9.0%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 55.9%
Defensive zone
McDavid 57.5%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 59.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Mittelstadt
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
54.3% (1,002)
-8.4%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
44.8% (29)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
33.3% (15)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Mittelstadt shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
McDavid
Home
47.2% (193)
53.6% (507)
Away
42.9% (259)
53.8% (539)
By Period
Mittelstadt
McDavid
P1
49.0%
52.6%
P2
45.7%
54.1%
P3
38.8%
54.9%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
41.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%