Casey Mittelstadt vs Connor McDavid
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs McDavid 51.8% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 71.1%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 58.9%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 68.9%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Mittelstadt
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mittelstadt
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
2
Mittelstadt
McDavid
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
51.5% (889)
-6.2%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
63.9% (36)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
51.2% (86)
-10.6%
On power play, McDavid has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
McDavid
Home
45.1% (366)
50.7% (513)
Away
46.8% (370)
53.2% (498)
By Period
Mittelstadt
McDavid
P1
41.1%
52.3%
P2
51.1%
51.6%
P3
45.9%
51.7%
OT
30.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |