Casey Mittelstadt vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Kotkaniemi 50.9% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 54.5%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 54.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 63.3%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
49.8% (309)
-3.9%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
64.5% (31)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
50.0% (4)
-27.8%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Home
47.2% (193)
51.7% (203)
Away
42.9% (259)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
P1
49.0%
49.5%
P2
45.7%
50.4%
P3
38.8%
53.8%
Final 5 min
41.7%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 13:59 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |