Casey Mittelstadt vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 57.5%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 60.5%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 57.2%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Mittelstadt 6-4 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
6
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
49.0% (3,852)
-4.0%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
51.3% (351)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
45.7% (35)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Home
46.7% (2,316)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
P1
46.8%
49.9%
P2
46.1%
50.4%
P3
44.0%
47.2%
OT
36.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 04:08 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:35 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 13:59 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 2 | 05:59 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 16:09 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 09:12 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 04:31 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 17:15 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |