Casey Mittelstadt vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (+3.6%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 51.2%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 51.1%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 52.2%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
47.3% (207)
+3.1%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
100.0% (3)
-45.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.3% (3)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Home
59.3% (91)
46.5% (129)
Away
42.5% (80)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
P1
48.8%
51.3%
P2
49.1%
46.1%
P3
56.7%
45.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%