Casey Mittelstadt vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 66.6%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 72.1%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 77.9%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Last 8: Mittelstadt 6-2 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
51.7% (586)
-5.3%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
48.1% (52)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
62.5% (8)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Home
47.7% (583)
49.5% (313)
Away
46.4% (541)
53.5% (333)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
P1
50.0%
54.5%
P2
46.2%
51.1%
P3
45.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 04:08 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:35 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |