Casey Mittelstadt vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 53.4%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 51.1%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 53.5%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
51.8% (637)
-6.5%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
48.2% (56)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
42.9% (7)
-2.3%
On even strength, Kotkaniemi has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Home
45.1% (366)
53.1% (339)
Away
46.8% (370)
49.9% (361)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
P1
41.1%
48.3%
P2
51.1%
55.0%
P3
45.9%
50.4%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |