Casey Mittelstadt vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Kotkaniemi 51.5% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 55.4%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 55.5%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 56.7%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
52.8% (670)
-8.1%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
37.5% (32)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
14.3% (7)
+25.7%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Home
46.0% (491)
52.5% (366)
Away
42.4% (512)
51.0% (343)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
P1
44.0%
53.8%
P2
46.4%
49.2%
P3
41.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
39.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |