Casey Mittelstadt vs Steven Stamkos
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 52.7%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 57.0%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 60.8%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
49.3% (789)
-3.4%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
56.9% (181)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
54.1% (98)
-31.9%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Mittelstadt is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Home
47.2% (193)
52.0% (512)
Away
42.9% (259)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
P1
49.0%
42.1%
P2
45.7%
56.4%
P3
38.8%
53.7%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
41.7%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |