Casey Mittelstadt vs Steven Stamkos
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 73.3%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 73.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 80.5%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
55.9% (499)
-9.5%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
56.3% (126)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
58.3% (12)
-8.3%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Mittelstadt is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Home
47.7% (583)
55.3% (349)
Away
46.4% (541)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
P1
50.0%
57.0%
P2
46.2%
59.2%
P3
45.5%
51.5%
OT
25.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |