Casey Mittelstadt vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-4.2%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 53.4%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 62.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 51.5%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
56.1% (342)
-5.7%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
53.3% (92)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
62.5% (8)
+37.5%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Home
59.3% (91)
53.4% (208)
Away
42.5% (80)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
P1
48.8%
55.6%
P2
49.1%
52.8%
P3
56.7%
59.1%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%