Casey Mittelstadt vs Steven Stamkos

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Steven Stamkos holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Stamkos 49.9% (-5.7%)
H2H factor Stamkos leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Mittelstadt 52.9%
Defensive zone Mittelstadt 77.4%
Neutral zone Mittelstadt 60.1%
Result Casey Mittelstadt favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Mittelstadt Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 6 (10 meetings)
4
6
Mittelstadt Stamkos
Last 10: Mittelstadt 4-6 Stamkos

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
4
Mittelstadt Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt Stamkos
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
49.3% (670)
-4.6%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
53.7% (121)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
33.3% (3)
+6.7%
On power play, Stamkos has a +13.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Mittelstadt is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Home
46.0% (491)
54.0% (400)
Away
42.4% (512)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
P1
44.0%
48.6%
P2
46.4%
54.5%
P3
41.9%
45.4%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
46.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%
50.5%
44.2%
Stamkos
54.0%
55.0%
49.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 22, 2025 3 04:16 Offensive Casey Mittelstadt
Feb 22, 2025 2 00:32 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Dec 14, 2024 3 03:30 Neutral Casey Mittelstadt
Dec 14, 2024 1 08:56 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Nov 11, 2024 1 10:27 Defensive Casey Mittelstadt
Nov 11, 2024 1 00:32 Defensive Steven Stamkos
Nov 2, 2024 3 04:14 Offensive Casey Mittelstadt
Nov 2, 2024 2 08:31 Neutral Steven Stamkos
Nov 2, 2024 1 13:27 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Nov 2, 2024 1 00:51 Offensive Steven Stamkos