Casey Mittelstadt vs Steven Stamkos
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Stamkos 49.9% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 52.9%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 77.4%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 60.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Last 10: Mittelstadt 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
4
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
49.3% (670)
-4.6%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
53.7% (121)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
33.3% (3)
+6.7%
On power play, Stamkos has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Mittelstadt is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Home
46.0% (491)
54.0% (400)
Away
42.4% (512)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
P1
44.0%
48.6%
P2
46.4%
54.5%
P3
41.9%
45.4%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:30 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:32 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |