Casey Mittelstadt vs Steven Stamkos
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 80.2%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 79.0%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 80.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Last 7: Mittelstadt 0-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
55.3% (628)
-10.0%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
55.1% (216)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
40.2% (87)
+0.4%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Mittelstadt is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Home
45.1% (366)
55.5% (499)
Away
46.8% (370)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
P1
41.1%
50.7%
P2
51.1%
53.8%
P3
45.9%
55.9%
OT
30.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
44.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 14:19 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |