Casey Mittelstadt vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 83.8%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 90.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 85.2%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 86.8%
86.8%
13.2%
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
20
(28 meetings)
8
20
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Last 10: Mittelstadt 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
5
6
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
9
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
5
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
50.4% (9,799)
-5.4%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
55.1% (1,725)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
49.7% (825)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Home
46.7% (2,316)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
P1
46.8%
49.1%
P2
46.1%
52.7%
P3
44.0%
50.9%
OT
36.6%
54.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:30 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:32 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 14:19 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |