Chandler Stephenson vs Ryan O'Reilly
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.9% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 66.5%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 58.9%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 59.0%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Stephenson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Stephenson
O'Reilly
Last 10: Stephenson 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
6
4
Stephenson
O'Reilly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
5
Stephenson
O'Reilly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Stephenson
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (993)
56.6% (1,064)
-5.6%
Power Play
60.5% (152)
60.4% (260)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (110)
54.0% (261)
-4.0%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Stephenson is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Stephenson shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Stephenson
O'Reilly
Home
53.3% (634)
54.9% (801)
Away
50.7% (621)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Stephenson
O'Reilly
P1
50.7%
58.0%
P2
51.2%
56.7%
P3
53.2%
55.4%
OT
70.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
52.6%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 16:22 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 02:25 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 15:59 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 12:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |