Chandler Stephenson vs Ryan O'Reilly
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Stephenson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 52.9%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 59.6%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 50.2%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Stephenson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Stephenson
O'Reilly
Last 10: Stephenson 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Stephenson
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stephenson
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Stephenson
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
55.0% (1,084)
-3.4%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
56.8% (303)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
40.3% (149)
+4.0%
On power play, Stephenson has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Stephenson shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Stephenson
O'Reilly
Home
52.5% (499)
54.8% (759)
Away
52.6% (551)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Stephenson
O'Reilly
P1
50.2%
55.3%
P2
55.7%
51.9%
P3
50.9%
54.2%
OT
63.6%
64.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 04:44 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:22 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |