Chandler Stephenson vs Ryan O'Reilly
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 57.2%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 73.2%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 57.0%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Stephenson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Stephenson
O'Reilly
Last 10: Stephenson 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
6
Stephenson
O'Reilly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
6
1
Stephenson
O'Reilly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
6
Stephenson
O'Reilly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
56.2% (983)
-5.0%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
55.5% (254)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
52.0% (102)
-4.3%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Stephenson shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Stephenson
O'Reilly
Home
52.2% (751)
56.2% (697)
Away
51.0% (723)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Stephenson
O'Reilly
P1
50.4%
54.5%
P2
51.5%
55.5%
P3
53.3%
57.1%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 09:57 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 12:01 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 06:35 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |