Chandler Stephenson vs Ryan O'Reilly
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Stephenson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 77.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 60.1%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 64.5%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Stephenson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Stephenson
O'Reilly
Last 10: Stephenson 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
4
2
Stephenson
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Stephenson
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
56.1% (690)
+1.6%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
64.6% (96)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
45.9% (109)
+1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Stephenson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Stephenson shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Stephenson
O'Reilly
Home
56.2% (589)
58.3% (408)
Away
60.0% (573)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Stephenson
O'Reilly
P1
58.3%
57.7%
P2
58.3%
54.8%
P3
57.9%
55.2%
OT
54.5%
45.5%
Final 5 min
57.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 18:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |