Chandler Stephenson vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 55 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 76-76 in 152 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 54.9%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 52.7%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 51.1%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Stephenson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
76
-
76
(152 meetings)
76
76
Stephenson
O'Reilly
Last 10: Stephenson 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
33
22
Stephenson
O'Reilly
55 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
23
28
Stephenson
O'Reilly
51 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
20
26
Stephenson
O'Reilly
46 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
56.2% (15,260)
-4.3%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
58.8% (3,445)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
51.4% (2,811)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,023).
Stephenson shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Stephenson
O'Reilly
Home
52.6% (3,827)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Stephenson
O'Reilly
P1
51.6%
55.6%
P2
52.4%
57.0%
P3
52.8%
55.1%
OT
57.7%
62.2%
Final 5 min
52.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:09 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 01:44 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:19 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |