Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 47.7%). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs McDavid 47.9% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 74.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 68.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 53.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Coyle
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
47.7% (715)
+1.8%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
51.9% (52)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
22.2% (9)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. McDavid is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Coyle
McDavid
Home
47.4% (409)
47.3% (387)
Away
50.0% (360)
48.1% (389)
By Period
Coyle
McDavid
P1
50.8%
47.6%
P2
46.0%
50.0%
P3
48.4%
45.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%